Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 107.926566 124.581433 144.401537 170.154443 203.395535 2.458491e+02 3.059238e+02
2024-10-27 84.514957 104.128091 130.031299 168.177638 225.737490 3.149746e+02 4.781979e+02
2024-11-03 75.176903 96.874122 127.734375 177.730318 263.606643 4.229625e+02 8.085448e+02
2024-11-10 71.975324 96.651924 134.294212 201.389183 334.008276 6.403033e+02 1.766523e+03
2024-11-17 64.776585 89.039394 127.579989 200.370605 357.965524 7.844252e+02 3.086561e+03
2024-11-24 59.190049 82.934166 121.944836 199.386664 381.455422 9.579478e+02 6.047933e+03
2024-12-01 53.984769 76.694167 114.935539 193.739290 391.350736 1.106577e+03 1.227893e+04
2024-12-08 50.159714 72.225750 110.294707 191.744795 410.222227 1.330495e+03 4.071118e+04
2024-12-15 47.355934 69.126367 107.629494 193.317561 440.713132 1.691525e+03 2.504032e+06
2024-12-22 44.031435 64.796817 102.072195 187.044712 444.043890 1.918100e+03 NaN
2024-12-29 43.009526 64.347809 103.840893 198.535508 515.711100 3.007128e+03 NaN
2025-01-05 40.378671 60.796264 99.035548 192.575134 519.351852 3.497115e+03 NaN
2025-01-12 38.631948 58.893527 97.737653 196.648751 573.888924 5.490784e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 36.449655 56.034588 94.183275 194.069536 600.080790 7.853175e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 35.606387 55.567916 95.586222 205.926662 714.006174 2.199070e+04 NaN
2025-02-02 35.906406 57.283513 102.013916 235.601696 996.327067 5.244578e+07 NaN
2025-02-09 34.260771 55.041292 99.125346 234.315377 1065.487428 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 32.777825 52.999978 96.451378 233.073537 1139.029529 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 31.126147 50.500332 92.411433 225.959986 1149.296935 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 29.845552 48.665460 89.785948 223.453425 1209.046454 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 28.881921 47.408308 88.430870 225.429731 1332.043145 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 27.545170 45.298795 84.758665 217.558598 1319.555792 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 27.267882 45.363410 86.534736 231.999870 1677.828252 NaN NaN